Personal Financial Planning Software Doesn’t
Kill Personal Financial Plans & Objectives; Planners & Clients Kill Personal
Financial Plans & Goals
Guns don’t kill people; people kill
people. And the same goes for software and personal financial planning: software
doesn’t kill personal financial plans; planners & clients kill personal
financial plans.
Yes, software may misfire, software
may be incomplete, and software may not be real time (though it is getting
there.) But the real impact on realization and or being on track to personal
financial goals from potential problems impacting the goal(s) (other than being
realistic to begin with), is contingency planning in the planning process and
updates.
Placing the blame on software is
placing the killing on the gun rather than who pulled the trigger.
Trigger events are critical in
contingency planning – be they a decline in a portfolio for an objective by X%,
a medium to high probability and high serious potential event on a client’s
business, or Obamacare care effecting the (beta- volatility) of an Internist’s
flow of income.
So while software is important, damn
important – to play what if, to project, to now be more real time and user
friendly, things not worth doing are not worth doing well and better to do the right thing right
(contingency planning) then the wrong thing right (great software minimal
contingency planning).
Now, it is true one can’t plan for all
contingencies (there is always something). And one can get paralysis of
analysis at the extreme. Furthermore, the high seriousness and low probability
contingencies i.e. a flood, a disability etc causing capital depletion are best
handled by risk transference (insurance) unless self insurance is a viable
alternative. But the medium to high probability and medium to high seriousness
(impact) potential problem analysis is given short shift in personal financial
planning – as personal financial planning is minimally personal let alone based
in strategic planning techniques used in business but focused on financial
techniques applied to personal resources & More, More, More (which to
repeat myself has a habit of becoming less, worse, later).
Below
are my previous thoughts to a planner relative to ‘is financial planning
software’ being incapable and a contingency planning process (potential problem
analysis adapted from Kepner Tregoe Decision Analysis) that may be useful.
Also, it is suggested that client’s ask their planner to see the planner’s
business plan and his or her contingency planning for the practice. This
suggestion is not to review their plan – but to see if they actually plan and
contingency plan for their business or does the Emperor Planner have no
clothes.
…I agree to your
indictment that personal financial
planning software is incapable in addressing the ups and downs, uncertainty,
and volatility.
Unfortunately, while valid
- this indictment puts the software cart before the horse not vetting
sufficiently contingency planning techniques which then financial planning
software can be applied to....
The first question is
contingency planning and triggers. Per Kepner Tregoe potential problems
analysis (which I used per objective in copyrighted
forms while in practice) the questions become
1- what is the potential
problem(s) per objective
2- what would be the cause
3- what is the probability
(high, medium, low)
4- what is the seriousness
(high, medium, low)
5- how to prevent and if
not prevent
6- how to minimize
and I added what is the
trigger #7.
Thereafter, one has an
action plan on the medium to high probability and medium to high seriousness in
most cases as to what, who, when, cost etc... - per each objective within each
key result area. (per asset protection/depletion - where there is low
probability high seriousness - i.e. flood, hurricane etc one would use risk
transference - insurance)
Where software - as a tool
comes in - is the what if - in the contingency planning - set off by the
criteria.
Thus, the horse is put
before the cart so that the planner doesn't become hoarse with assurances and
platitudes - but can with the client recall their documented contingency
planning – being proactive rather than reactive or in a blame game.. (Even
then, there still will be tuchass comforting necessary due to client amnesia(c))
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